MLB - Written by daniel80111 on Thursday, July 2, 2009 18:54 - 2 Comments

Up Up And Away

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Justin UptonWhen you think about the best young players in Major League Baseball, does Justin Upton come to mind? Probably not. Buried in the Arizona desert with cacti and rattlesnakes, Upton won’t get the recognition for this season’s efforts like he would if he were in the bright lights of a major market, like New York, Boston or Los Angeles. But despite a lack of recognition, what he is accomplishing this season at age 21 is nothing short of remarkable.

Justin Upton distinguishes himself from other successful, young Major League Baseball players through his shear amount of raw power. “Isolated Power,” or ISO, is a widely-used statistic which is designed to measure a player’s raw power. By looking at Upton’s ISO, we not only have evidence of his raw power, but we can also see why he is on his way to becoming one of the best players in Major League Baseball history. For those of you who aren’t familiar with ISO, here is a quick description of the statistic according to Associated Content:

“Isolated Power, or ISO, is a statistic that was created invented by the famous general manager Branch Rickey and Al Roth in the 1950’s (this pair also invented On Base Percentage). Isolated Power attempts to separate and measure a player’s ability to hit for power as exhibited in extra base hits (doubles, triples, and home runs). Where batting average counts all hits equally, and slugging percentage gives credit for total bases, but also counts singles, ISO measures just the player’s extra-base abilities. Isolated power is basically a ratio of Extra Base Hits per at bat.”

So far this season, Upton’s ISO is .253. It is astonishing to see a 21-year-old display that type of power, considering that his body is still developing, and he is far from what Bill James considers to be a player’s prime (between the ages of 26 and 30). To put his ISO into perspective, let’s take a look at the other players that have posted an ISO of .250 or higher before the age of 22. Baseball reference reports these numbers:

For single seasons, From 1901 to 2009, Younger than 21, (requiring ISO≥.250 and At least 100 plate appearances), sorted by greatest ISO
Name ISO AGE PA BA OBP SLG OPS
Eddie Matthews .325 21 681 .302 .406 .627 1.033
Adam Dunn .316 21 286 .262 .371 .578 .949
Mel Ott .307 20 674 .328 .449 .635 1.084
Willie McCovey .302 21 219 .354 .429 .656 1.085
Justin Upton .290 21 183 .346 .415 .636 1.051
Ted Williams .282 20 677 .327 .436 .609 1.045
Albert Pujols .281 21 676 .329 .403 .610 1.013
Gregg Jefferies .275 20 118 .321 .364 .596 .960
Alex Rodriguez .273 20 677 .358 .414 .631 1.045
Bob Horner .273 20 359 .266 .313 .539 .852
Jimmie Foxx .271 21 638 .354 .463 .625 1.088
Frank Robinson .268 20 668 .290 .379 .558 .937
Hal Trosky .268 21 685 .330 .388 .598 .986
Joe Mauer .262 21 122 .308 .369 .570 .939
Babe Ruth .261 20 103 .315 .376 .576 .952
Darryl Strawberry .255 21 473 .257 .336 .512 .848
Joe DiMaggio .253 21 668 .323 .352 .576 .928
Ted Williams .250 21 661 .344 .442 .594 1.036

That is quite a notable list of players.  To be counted in that company indicates that he may very well go on to become one of the top players in MLB history.  It’s also important to note that Upton is currently posting a .394 On Base Percentage, a number which would be remarkable for any player, but much more so when posted by a 21-year-old. According to Fangraphs, 90% of players that play at the level Upton has played at this early in his career end up as Hall of Fame players. Upton certainly appears to have a bright future. If he continues on this road, he should have no problem getting a phenomenal deal when he’s eligible for free agency as a 26-year-old in the 2013 season.



2 Comments

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Jay Z
Jul 2, 2009 23:52

Upton runs fast and hits the ball long. 5 tool player with Hall of Fame written in his genes. I love it.

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Jack C
Jul 4, 2009 11:47

its all in the genetics. have you seen this kid’s batspeed? ridiculous.

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